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Thursday, November 24, 2022

Augsburg vs Bethel 11-22-22

 Made the short drive over to Robertson Center on the campus of Bethel University on this Tuesday evening to take in this important early season clash between visiting Augsburg and host Bethel.  The Auggies opened up this new 2022-23 season on a solid note with two wins - one at home vs UW-River Falls a week ago and then this last Saturday at Macalester.  The Royals on the other hand had to absorb two "Ls" on opening weekend over at Eau Claire, WI - 78-71 defeat to UW-Oshkosh and a 55-52 setback to host UW-Eau Claire - two teams that will undoubtedly be in the forefront in the WIAC.  Bethel got the ship righted last week Wednesday with a tough win at Carleton and hoped to carry that momentum into tonight's contest.  

Both squads had to feel each other out in the first few possessions of the opening period but Augsburg was finally able to assume a 4-0 advantage as a lay-up in transition by junior guard Katie Manecke at the 8:48 mark and a lay-up by sophomore sensation forward Anja Smith a bit later at the 8:15 mark seemed to have the Auggies loosened up a bit.  Despite some sluggishness initially, Bethel managed to shake off the early cobwebs and get the contest knotted at four a piece as sophomore guard Kendal Cox made a tough drive for a finish off the glass at the 7:14 mark and a score in the paint by senior forward Emma Schultz at the 6:26 mark had this game back on even terms again.  The Auggies would again poke their nose out in front as a three-point bomb by Manecke from the right corner at the 5:49 mark and a Manecke free throw after she was fouled with 4:30 left helped give Augsburg an 8-6 advantage.  It was here where the Royals made their first significant move of the night in the form of a 6-0 push.  Cox would start this push with her lay-up with 3:31 left and then freshman reserve guard Colette Duininck would connect with a lay-up in transition with 3:05 left to push Bethel out in front for the first time in the evening at 10-8.  Junior guard Anna Garfield would maneuver into the paint for another score that now had the Royals up 12-8.  Perhaps somewhat alarmed at this development, Augsburg got back to work with Smith carrying the load as she would drop one free throw after getting fouled with 1:08 left and then would connect on a graceful lay-up in transition with :47.6 left that cut the deficit down to one at 12-11.  But Bethel would get more breathing room as sophomore reserve forward Lydia Hagstrom would snare an offensive rebound for a putback that drew a foul in the process with just :05.6 left and her ensuing "and one" allowed the Royals to take a 15-11 lead into the second period.  

The Auggies would get this game knotted in the first few minutes of the second period as speedy junior guard Kalena Myers connected with a lay-up at the 9:35 mark and two free throws by senior reserve guard Samaiya Buchanan at the 7:16 mark after she was fouled leveled this game at 15.  But Augsburg would go into a bit of a funk offensively after that and that was largely in part due to the trademark stingy defense that the Royals employ.  Bethel would retake the lead on a brazen coast-to-coast lay-up by Duininck at the 6:11 mark and a "3" from the left wing area by sophomore reserve guard Autumn Earney with 4:43 left suddenly had the Royals up by five at 20-15.  The Auggies would momentarily get back to within a single possession on a pretty drive and finish off the glass by Samaiya Buchanan with 4:20 left but Bethel re-established the five-point lead on a drive and finish by Duininck with 3:55 left and a short shot from the left side by Schultz with 2:10 left stretch the Royals lead to seven at 24-17.  Augsburg's Smith would take matters into her own hands at this point as she would drain a "3" from the right wing area with 1:51 left that cut the deficit down to four at 24-20 and two Smith free throws after she was fouled kept the Auggies in that four-point range down 26-22.  Bethel would stretch its lead to seven once again when Earney banged home a "3" from the right corner with :53 left but Augsburg got a bit of a reprieve when slender freshman reserve forward Alli Born drained a "3" of her own with :36 left that kept the Auggies in that four-point range again at 29-25 as both teams retreated to their respective locker rooms for the halftime break.  A check of the first half box score revealed some worries for Augsburg Head Coach Ted Riverso and his staff as Bethel enjoyed a 17-10 edge in the rebounding department and while turnovers were basically even, the Auggies shot only 3-7 from downtown for 42.9%.  And Smith was having to shoulder a large share of the burden up to this point.

Bethel would hold the upper hand once the third period got going as an offensive rebound and putback by Schultz at the 9:38 mark pushed the lead to six at 31-25 and two Schultz free throws after she was fouled at the 7:26 mark maintained the six-point edge at 33-27.  One free throw by the youngster, Duininck, after she was fouled at the 6:13 mark upped that lead to 34-27 before the Auggies finally got untracked offensively.  Senior sharpshooting guard Jaley Coplin finally got into the books with her short, turnaround jumper at the 5:29 mark and a lay-up in transition by Myers with 4:02 left finally had Augsburg back to within a single possession again down 34-31.  With 3:38 left, Myers would get Augsburg closer with one free throw after she was fouled that trimmed the deficit down to two at 34-32 and there was every reason to the think the Auggies could get this one turned around.  But Bethel had vastly different plans as a 7-1 run down the home stretch of this third period showed.  Freshman reserve guard/forward Rosalie Penke would knock down a pair of free throws after getting fouled with 3:19 left and then Schultz would use her muscle in traffic to snare an offensive rebound for a putback that drew a foul and her obligatory "and one" had the Royals up 39-32.  With 1:46 left Hagstrom would muscle into the paint for a score that now had the Royals up by eight at 41-33 and the previous momentum that Augsburg had seemed to vanish into thin air.

The Auggies prospects became even more dire in the early moments of the fourth period as Bethel established its first double-digit lead of the even at 43-33 when Garfield would make a hard drive along the right baseline and connect with a finish at the 9:19 mark and although Augsburg's Coplin would drain one of her trademark three-point bombs - this one from the right wing area at the 8:54 mark - the math was starting to work against the Auggies as they were unable to string together a series of scores that would have them back within striking distance again.  Bethel's Schultz would knock down a pair of freebies after getting fouled at the 8:28 mark as would Garfield at the 8:03 mark to make it 47-38.  But now making matters even worse for the Auggies was that Smith had now picked up her fourth foul of the night and Augsburg's Riverso decided to roll the dice and keep his star player in.  To her credit, Smith was still being aggressive (but careful at the same time) and she would connect with a lay-up at the 7:39 mark that cut the deficit to seven at 47-40.  But again, not being able to get stops and put together a string of scores would doom the Auggies on this night.  The Royals would extend their lead to ten again when Garfield unleashed a "3" from the left top area at the 6:14 mark to make it 50-40 and an Earney three-point bomb with 3:14 left now had Bethel up 53-42.  Augsburg would make one last bid to try to get back into this one as Coplin banged home a "3" from the right wing area with 2:37 left but after a subsequent timeout by the Auggies' Riverso, Augsburg's hopes were dashed when Smith fouled out with 2:28 left.  Still, Augsburg tried to throw one last scare into the home team when Myers slyly snared a steal and raced the other way for a lay-up with 1:46 left that had the deficit down to five at 53-48.  But that's as close as the Auggies would come and Bethel was now in prime position to put this one on ice.  Garfield would drop a pair of free throws with 1:41 left and Cox would get one more after getting fouled with 1:33 left to make it 56-48.  Sophomore guard Courtney Nuest would slither into the paint for an insurance bucket with 1:01 left and the Royals secured an important 58-52 victory.  

When I was able to catch up with Bethel Head Coach Jon Herbrechtsmeyer afterward, I termed this a "gritty win" for this club and Herbrechtsmeyer concurred with notion.  I mentioned to Herbrechtsmeyer that I thought that a big key to his squad's win on this evening was that they pretty much controlled the tempo of the game to their style; i.e., they limited Augsburg to very few fast break opportunities (their strong suit).  Herbrechtsmeyer also pointed out that his squad's defense also took away a lot of things that the Auggies like to do in their half-court offense as well.  I mentioned to Herbrechtsmeyer that this team of his is a very young team; dominated by freshmen and sophomores and, to be sure, there were some freshman/sophomore mistakes mixed in from time to time.  Herbrechtsmeyer could only laugh and remark "Really?  Ya think?!"  In all seriousness, however, Herbrechtsmeyer is very high on this young group and he knows full and well that there has to be a little baptism by fire, so to speak.  At the same time, while there is arguably some work in progress for this young group, he's hopeful that they'll have made some big strides once January rolls around.  And he's also hopeful that sophomore forward Hayden Glander, who had to sit out this game with an unspecified injury, will be back in action again soon.  Meanwhile, a tough loss for Augsburg's Riverso and his staff to absorb and there's little doubt that Riverso had to wince a little when he saw the final box score that revealed that the Auggies got pounded on the boards (again) on this night by a 38-23 count (ouch) and though they were better than Bethel in the turnover department, Augsburg was only able to get 17 points off of those turnovers.  Another area where Bethel dominated was in points in the paint - another indicator of how they controlled the tempo of the game - by a sizable 30-22 margin.  Still another area where Bethel dominated on this night was in those all-important "second chance" points by a 14-4 margin.

Bethel did have a pretty balanced attack on this night as they were paced by Schultz's 13 points and Garfield wasn't far behind with her 11 points.  Smith was the workhorse for Augsburg on this night as she led all scorers with her 17 points.  It took longer than she would have liked but Coplin did start heating up in the second half and finished with 10 points.  

Friday, November 11, 2022

MIAC Predictions For The 2022-23 Season

 That time of the year again where I have to break out the old crystal ball and polish it off to see if it will come to life or not to provide some insight on how this upcoming season of MIAC Women's Hoops will go.  So while I'm kind of immersed in the fortunes (or sadly, the misfortunes) of my LA Rams and UCLA Bruins (along with the alma mater, Iowa) this fall, I think it is time to take a look ahead and predict how I think things will turn out in MIAC Women's Hoops this time around.  So, without further adieu, let get this started.  


The Title Contenders


1.  GAC

2.  Bethel 

The fact that the Gusties; practically left for dead in the early part of February 2022 after a bad road loss, somehow found a way to turn things around down the stretch and catch fire when it counted that helped them earn their first-ever MIAC Championship Game title this last season is impressive enough.  Now, when you add this experience to this talent-laden squad, I think it just makes them the clear favorites in this upcoming season.  Of course, there's a caveat that comes with that:  They'll be wearing a much, much bigger target on them this time around than they ever did last year when they came out of nowhere to pull off the unthinkable.  Then again, when you look at this roster and the talent they have, they may just welcome that bigger target.  The two leading scorers from this last season - junior guard Emma Kniefel and senior guard Anna Sanders are both back but bolstering the Gustie starting line-up will be junior guard Riley Queensland who missed all of last season with an unfortunate ACL injury just the third day into practice back in October 2021.  Senior forward Grace Benz is back as well and sophomore Rachel Kawiecki will also have a presence on the GAC front court.  The other cool thing about this team is that you also have a lot of nice interchangeable pieces in key positions as well such as sophomore Kylie Baranick who filled in just great the PG spot last season and sophomore forward Morgan Kelly adds depth and stability in that front court.  Juniors Syd Hauger, Lexi Schermann and Izzy (Izzy Izzy, You're Making Me Dizzy) Quick can all provide solid minutes in relief duty.  To put it plain and simple, Head Coach Lauire Kelly's team is LOADED and ready for battle and if all the main pieces can stay healthy this time around, another MIAC Championship Game title might just be starters for this team as they have the ability to go far, IMHO......The other team I think that you at least have to have in the conversation for title honors is Bethel.  To be sure, Head Coach Jon Herbrechtsmeyer has an incredibly young team with just one senior on his roster - senior forward Emma Schultz.  One player from last year's team - Kat Brown-Erdal - is not and that's a significant loss.  However, this squad is dominated with freshmen and sophomores; notably sophomore guard Courtney Nuest along with fellow sophomore guards Kendal Cox and Autumn Earney.  Junior guard Anna Garfield is back as well and presumably fully healthy now as well.  Sophomore forward Hayden Glander can wreak havoc both down low and out behind the three-point line if she has to.  And I would expect sophomore guard Lydia Hagstrom to play an important role on this team as well.  Last year, we saw Bethel get off to an unusually rough start before getting the ship righted somewhat before getting bounced in the MIAC Playoffs by said GAC team.  I think we kind of need to see how the Royals get things started this year before we draw too many conclusions but I have to believe that this team will at least play a factor in how things shake out this season.


Solid Playoff Contenders


3.  Hamline

4.  CSB

5.  Augsburg

I toyed with the idea of considering Hamline as a possible title contender and hey, they may very well turn out to be one.  This is a team that's as athletically gifted and talented as anyone in the conference.  They came within an eyelash of making it to the MIAC Championship Game this last season and they've got a ton of talent back from last year including senior point guard Chan'el Anderson-Manning and junior forward Lydia Lecher who's one of the most exciting and fun players in this conference to watch.  Senior forward/post Tess Hauer has shown what a solid player she is down low and senior guard Alyssa Williamson only helps make that Hamline backcourt that much more stable and stronger.  Head Coach Alex Focke also has a smattering of relief help coming off the bench as well who can not only get up and down the court but also provide a scoring punch, too.  Players such as senior guard Iyanna Weiland, junior guard Michaela Stamer and fellow junior guard Larisa O'Neil are all three-point threats.  So, while there's little doubt in my mind that this squad will be a force and right in the thick of things, I have to wonder as well if they're also able to take things a step further on the defensive front too; an area that was an issue from time to time last season.  They've proven that they can get themselves into position to take things to the next level.  Now it's just a matter of getting over that proverbial hump.......Another team that I'm kind of high on this year as well is CSB and I think this team has something prove and has a bit of a chip on their shoulder as well.  If you're looking for a team that's really, really strong at the guard/wing position, look no further than the Bennies because Head Coach Mike Durbin is set as well as any coach in the conference in the backcourt.  Junior PG Carla Meyer is as good as they come and and there's little question in my mind that she's going to be a driving force for this CSB team.  Another player to keep your eye on this season for CSB is sophomore guard Sophia Jonas out of Hudson, WI.  Presumably, senior forward Tori Szathmary will be the primary go-to player down low but there's still some question marks revolving around the Bennie front court.  Still, I think this team is destined to make a jump forward this season and the talent is certainly there to make it happen.....It somehow doesn't feel right not having Augsburg in the conversation for the title chase.  I'm not saying at all that they can't be but I feel like the cautious approach might be the safe way to look at this group at this particular juncture.  To be sure, Head Coach Ted Riverso has - without question - the best player in the conference in junior forward Anja Smith who set MIAC venues on fire last year with her 17.1 ppg average and her unbelievable athleticism and equally uncanny ability to take over games in crucial moments.  And the supporting cast isn't too bad either when you throw in sharpshooting senior guard Jaley Coplin who can make you pay in spades from three-point land and fellow senior guard Grace Eastman is an incredibly solid player on both ends of the floor.  Speedy junior guard Kalena Myers can wreak havoc on the defensive end and fellow junior guard Katie Manecke was a solid contributor off the bench.  The two items that do leave me some room for concern (and why I'm taking a cautious approach) is (1) graduation losses of both Jen Masello and Selena Lor and (2) the rocky start they got off to last season that saw the Auggies drop their first three games which proved costly after they lost to GAC in the MIAC Championship Game.  I have to believe that one day they'll finally get over the hump but I don't know if this is the year or not.  


Fighting For That Sixth Playoff Spot


6.  Concordia

7.  Carleton

8.  St. Kate's

After the promise that the Cobbers showed in that truncated 2020-21 season made me think last year at about this same time that the 2021-22 season would be their coming out party that would have them right in the thick of things in the MIAC title chase.  Instead, they stumbled out of the gate badly; going 1-7 in their opening games and they would finish with an incredibly disappointing 8-16 record; far from what was expected.  True, some untimely injuries played a role in last year's less-than-stellar season but signs point toward Concordia making amends for last year's transgressions.  Head Coach Kim Wager's cupboard certainly isn't bare as she's got a nice collection of athletes who can make things happen.  Sophomore guard Carlee Sieben; who transferred into Concordia this last summer after one season at UND is a real scoring threat and senior guard Autumn Thompson is a seasoned vet who can impact both ends of the floor.  Fellow senior guard Emily Beseman may very well be the most under-appreciated player in the conference and she's very solid on both ends of the floor.  Lanky sophomore forward Makayla Anderson hopes to bolster the Cobber front line as does fellow sophomore guard/forward Symone Beld.  So I think the Cobbers have the goods to be at least be a factor in the conference race........Down in Northfield, Carleton may have the most interesting mix of players you'll ever see and given how this team showed how dangerous it could be last year, you have to figure that they're going to be in the discussion at the very least.  Given the box score of their opening game on Wednesday night this week, freshman guard Amelia Solt out of Loveland, CO had a terrific outing with her 23 points to lead the way and senior guard Aiana Whitfield was solid as well with her 14 points and junior Emma Henry is just a wonderfully athletic and gifted player.  Knights Head Coach Tammy Metcalf-Filzen always knows how to get the most out of her teams and if there's one thing I've learned about Carleton over the more than 20 years I've been watching MIAC Women's Basketball, her teams are TOUGH - both physically and mentally and they play very smart.  Now, is that element alone enough to propel them to the top?  Probably not and remember too that depth could be an issue for this team as the season progresses.  But, at the same time, they're probably the last team you'll want to face come playoff time......I have to think that St. Kate's is going to be one of those teams lurking in this particular mix as well.  Their trio of senior leadership - guard Mackenzie Kurczek and forwards Bree Glynn and Sam Orth - is as good as any in the conference and Head Coach Don Mulhern has some key pieces to use in rotation as well with junior guard Karis Zezza along with sophomore forwards Sydney Elliott and Greta Schimnowski.  As it always seems like it, year after year, it all comes down to two things for the Wildcats:  (1) Can they establish some consistency once January rolls around and (2) can they find a way to stay healthy?  They haven't always been able to answer those two questions with a resounding "Yes" yet but I think this team has the goods to be dangerous enough to be in contention for one of those last two playoff spots.   


The Not Quite Ready For Prime Time Squads


9.  St. Olaf

10.  Macalester

11.  St. Scholastica

12.  SMU

In an expanded MIAC Playoff format last season, we saw Head Coach Kelly Mahlum's St. Olaf team take a big step forward with a first round playoff win on the road at SMU.  And although the joyride didn't last long, it was still an important and significant step for a program that's arguably been struggling for a while now.  I think this team is primed to make another step forward and be much more competitive in the MIAC and although being a playoff contender may or may not be in the offing for them, they're still a group that's going to have to be reckoned with when you have players like senior forward Rachel Kelly and fellow senior guards Grace Hegland and Cassie Fix.  This could be a team to keep your eye on - especially if a team or two ahead of them falter........While you may not necessarily think of Macalester of being a playoff contender, this squad is a lot better than what you think.  They may not be the most talented team in the conference but they make up for that with their smart play and they have the ability to give a lot of teams fits.  Senior guard Solana Cushing can be absolutely deadly from behind the arc and lanky senior forward Emma LaFrenz gives Head Coach Katie Kollar some much-needed length down low......Head Coach Jason Schmitz and his St. Scholastica had to wade into some rough waters last season in their first full year of MIAC play and the best guess here is that there'll be some more deep water to encounter this season as well although I definitely want to make it a point to cover this team this coming season......Down the CPKC River Sub mainline and US Highway 61 in Winona, SMU is looking to break out of its collective shell and they have a terrific scorer in guard/forward Brooklyn Paulson who can terrorize from three-point land but there's still some big hills to climb for this team in order to make it to the next level.   


So there you have it.  With the season just getting underway, it's time to watch this all unfold.